河南省城市化进程的异速生长分析

an allometric Analysis of Henan

  • 摘要: 分析了河南省自1971 年以来的城—乡人口异速生长过程,将其城市化进程分为三个阶段:1971~1976 年为停滞期;1977~1993 年前后为异速生长的正幂律时期,城市化处于初升段;1994 年以后为异速生长的负幂律时期,乡村人口开始负增长,城市化进入加速阶段。从理论上验证城- 乡人口异速生长的分数维性质,在实践上为预测今后河南省城市化的发展趋势提供新思路。

     

    Abstract: The paper analyses the allometric growth of urban-rural population of Henan province since 1971 and the urbanization process is divided into three stages.The first stage,from 1971 to 1976, is isometric growth,during which urbanization bogged down;The second stage,from 1977 to 1993, is positive allometric growth,during which the urbanization course is normalized and the level of urbanization of Henan ascended sustainedly;The third stage,from 1994 up to now, is negative allometric growth,during which the urba...

     

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