中国高校博士教师省域空间分布格局及其影响因素研究

Research on the spatial distribution pattern and influencing factors of doctoral teachers in Chinese universities across provinces

  • 摘要: 基于2013—2022年教育统计数据和全国统计年鉴数据,综合运用占比数列、集聚度、空间自相关和空间杜宾模型等方法,探究中国高校博士教师省域空间分布格局及其影响因素。研究表明:1) 中国高校博士教师省域规模呈均衡化发展趋势; 2) 2013年,密集地区集中于北京、天津、上海,稀疏地区则涵盖内蒙古、广西、贵州、云南、西藏、青海、新疆。至2022年,北京的集聚程度回落至中密集水平,内蒙古转变为均值下区域; 3) 全局莫兰指数显示,高校博士教师人才密度的空间分布存在显著集聚特征,且在2018年前后分别呈现加强和减弱趋势;局部莫兰指数散点图显示,2013年热点地区为北京、天津、上海、江苏、浙江,而山西等20个省域为冷点地区,2022年黑龙江新增冷点地区; 4) 高校博士教师分布具有明显的空间溢出效应,工资水平、消费支出、医疗服务及人才政策是影响其分布的主要因素,且人才政策的驱动作用最为突出。

     

    Abstract: Based on the educational statistics and national statistical yearbook data from 2013 to 2022, the provincial spatial distribution pattern of doctoral faculty in Chinese universities and its influencing factors were explored by comprehensively applying methods such as proportion series, agglomeration degree, spatial autocorrelation and spatial Durbin model. The results showed that: 1) The provincial scale of doctoral faculty in Chinese universities presented a development trend toward equilibrium; 2) In 2013, the densely distributed regions were concentrated in Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai, while the sparsely distributed ones included Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Guizhou, Yunnan, Xizang, Qinghai and Xinjiang. By 2022, the agglomeration degree of Beijing dropped to a moderately dense level, and Inner Mongolia was transformed into a region below the average level; 3) The global Moran's I index indicated that the spatial distribution of doctoral faculty density in universities had significant agglomeration characteristics, which showed a trend of intensification before 2018 and attenuation afterward. The scatter plot of local Moran's I index revealed that the hot spots in 2013 were Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Jiangsu and Zhejiang, whereas 20 provinces including Shanxi were cold spots; By 2022, Heilongjiang was added as a new cold spot; 4) The distribution of doctoral faculty in universities had an obvious spatial spillover effect. Wage levels, consumer spending, medical services and talent policies were the main factors affecting its distribution, among which the driving effect of talent policies was the most prominent.

     

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