一类基于阶段结构的蚊群压制模型的动力学分析

Dynamic analysis of a mosquito population suppression model based on stage structure

  • 摘要: 围绕蚊媒种群的生物控制问题,构建了基于昆虫不育技术的阶段结构种群动力学模型,系统探讨了不育蚊子在常值连续释放与周期脉冲释放两种策略下的生态调控机制。探讨了影响种群动态的关键阈值条件,揭示了不同释放模式下种群灭绝与持续存活的规律。理论和数值结果表明,适当延长不育蚊子的脉冲释放周期,在确保防控效果的同时,可显著降低现场释放的频次,所得结果可为权衡防控效能与实施成本提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The biological control of mosquito-borne populations was investigated by developing stage-structured population dynamics models based on the sterile insect technique. The ecological regulation mechanisms of constant continuous release and periodic impulsive release of sterile mosquitoes were systematically explored. The key threshold conditions influencing population dynamics were examined, revealing the patterns of population extinction and sustained survival under different release strategies. The theoretical results and numerical simulations indicated that appropriately extending the pulse release interval of sterile mosquitoes could significantly reduce the frequency of on-site releases while maintaining control efficacy, which can provide references for balancing control effectiveness and implementation costs in practical applications.

     

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