淮河生态经济带生态环境质量时空演变及驱动因素分析

Spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors analysis of ecological and environmental quality in Huaihe River Eco-Economic Belt

  • 摘要: 为全面评估淮河生态经济带生态环境质量的时空演变特征,基于遥感生态指数(RSEI)数据,结合地形、气候、植被覆盖度、土地利用类型、GDP、人口密度及夜间灯光等多源数据,利用一元线性回归分析和重心迁移模型等方法,揭示了淮河生态经济带2001—2021年生态环境质量的时空变化特征,并借助地理探测器深入剖析了关键驱动因子及其交互作用对生态环境质量的定量影响。结果表明:1)该区域生态环境质量年际变化呈现波动性,总体趋势稳中有升,空间上则表现为西南高、东北低的分布特征,且不同区域的等级面积占比差异显著;2)不同等级生态环境质量区域空间集聚动态复杂多样,其重心总体向西北方向迁移;3)自然因素中的坡度和高程对区域生态环境质量的影响最大,社会经济因素中土地利用类型和夜间灯光的影响逐渐增强。此外,地形因子与相对湿度、降水等因子的交互作用对生态环境质量空间分布具有显著影响。研究成果可为淮河生态经济带的生态环境保护策略及可持续发展路径提供坚实的科学依据与决策支持。

     

    Abstract: To comprehensively assess the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of ecological environment quality in the Huaihe River Eco⁃Economic Belt, the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) data, combined with multi⁃source data including topography, climate, vegetation coverage, land use type, GDP, population density, and nighttime light were utilized. The methods such as univariate linear regression analysis and the center of gravity migration model were employed to reveal the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of ecological environment quality in the Huaihe River Eco⁃Economic Belt from 2001 to 2021. Furthermore, the geodetector was applied to deeply analyze the quantitative impacts of key factors and their interactions on ecological environment quality. The results indicated that: 1) The interannual variation of ecological environment quality in this region had exhibited fluctuations, with an overall trend of stable improvement. Spatially, the ecological environment quality had shown a pattern of being higher in the southwest and lower in the northeast, with significant differences in the area proportions of different quality grades. 2) The spatial agglomeration dynamics of regions with different ecological environment quality grades had been complex and diverse, generally migrating toward the northwest. 3) Among natural factors, the slope and elevation have had the greatest impact on ecological environment quality, while among socioeconomic factors, the influence of land use type and nighttime light had gradually strengthened. The interaction between topographic factors and relative humidity, precipitation, and other factors had exerted a significant influence on the spatial distribution of ecological environment quality. The research findings might provide a scientific basis and decision-making support for ecological environment protection strategies and sustainable development pathways in the Huaihe River Eco-Economic Belt.

     

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