1901—2020年淮河流域降水量时空分布格局

Spatial and temporal distribution pattern of precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin during 1901—2020

  • 摘要: 基于淮河流域1901—2020年逐月降水栅格数据集,采用Mann-Kendall检验法、Morlet小波分析、降水集中度等方法,分析了淮河流域过去120 a降水量变化的时空格局。研究结果表明:(1)在时间变化方面,1901—2020年淮河流域年和四季降水量均呈不显著的上升趋势,突变性强,分别存在64 a (年)、8 a (春)、61 a (夏)、17 a (秋)和32 a (冬)的第一主周期。(2)在空间变化方面,淮河流域年降水量和春、秋、冬三季降水量由南向北逐渐减少,夏季降水量则在西南到东北的方向上呈现出“高—低—高”的分布特征,大别山区和山东半岛分别为流域内降水量的高值区和低值区;年和四季降水量集中度整体表现为北高南低的分布特征,其中四季降水量SPCI值均小于15,季节降水量分配相对均匀;M-K趋势检验结果表明,淮河流域大部分地区年和四季降水量呈弱增长趋势。

     

    Abstract: Based on the month-by-month precipitation raster dataset of the Huaihe River Basin from 1901 to 2020, the temporal and spatial pattern of precipitation changes in the Huaihe River Basin over the past 120 years was analyzed by using the Mann-Kendall test, Morlet wavelet analysis and precipitation concentration. The results showed that: (1) In terms of temporal changes, the annual and four-seasonal precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin from 1901 to 2020 show a non-significant upward trend with high abruptness, and there were the first main cycles of 64 a (year), 8 a (spring), 61 a (summer), 17 a (fall) and 32 a (winter), respectively. (2) In terms of spatial changes, the annual, spring, autumn and winter precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin decreased gradually from south to north, while the summer precipitation showed a “high-low-high”distribution from southwest to northeast, with the Dabie Mountain area and the Shandong Peninsula as the high-value and low-value areas of precipitation in the basin, respectively. The concentration of precipitation in the year and in the four seasons was generally high in the north and low in the south, and the concentration of precipitation was high in the north and low in the south. The annual and four-seasonal precipitation concentration was characterized by the distribution of high in the north and low in the south, in which the SPCI values of the four-seasonal precipitation were less than 15, and the distribution of seasonal precipitation was relatively uniform.The results of the M-K trend test showed that the annual and four-seasonal precipitation in most areas of the Huaihe River Basin showed a weak growth trend.

     

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