基于CVaR的电价敏感用户组合购电风险模型

Risk Model of Power Purchasing Portfolio for the Price-Sensitive Users Base on CVaR

  • 摘要: 智能电网背景下的实时定价机制可以提高整个社会的福利水平,而对于电价敏感用户则具有两面性,机遇与挑战并存。以条件风险价值(CVaR)为风险测度,建立了电价敏感用户为规避购电风险在电力金融市场与现货市场进行组合购电的优化模型,并针对模型中的非光滑函数提出一个新的一致光滑逼近函数,将模型转化为光滑凸规划问题。仿真分析验证了模型的合理性与算法的有效性。

     

    Abstract: Real-time pricing mechanism under smart grid can improve the welfare of the whole society. As for the price-sensitive users, however, it has two sides, both opportunities and challenges. Using the conditional value-at-risk(CVaR) as the risk measure, an optimal purchasing portfolio model in the power financial market and spot market is established, so that the price-sensitive users can control electricity purchasing risk. Moreover, a consistent smooth approximation function is proposed and the model is converted into a smooth convex programming. The reasonability of the model and the validity of the algorithm are verified by the simulation analysis.

     

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