Abstract:
Based on the pressure-state-response model, by using normalization of exponential transformation, mean square deviation weighting method, grey fuzzy matter-element evaluation, coupling coordination degree model, time series prediction and standard deviation ellipse model, the basic public service carrying capacity and coordinated development of 7 cities in Dabie Mountain area from 2003 to 2018 are empirical researched. The results show that: (1) The coordination degree of basic public services in Dabie Mountain area shows a steady growth trend. (2) The evaluation value of carrying capacity coordination in various cities shows an increase trend in the prediction period (2019-2023). The standard deviation elliptic model shows a "northwest-southeast" trend, and the center of gravity moves to the north. (3) The research on the carrying capacity of basic public services in Dabie Mountain area needs to be deepened, and the follow-up research should be further enriched and improved from the aspects of indicators, time periods and regions.