信阳市城区空气质量指数变化及其与气象要素的关系

Variation of Air Quality Index and Its Relationship with Meteorological Elements in Xinyang Urban Area

  • 摘要: 以2014-2017年信阳市逐月空气质量指数(AQI)监测数据及同时段的气象数据为研究对象,采用统计分析、Pearson相关系数法和广义加性模型(GAM),对信阳市城区空气质量指数变化特征及其与气象要素的关系进行分析.结果表明:(1)2014-2017年信阳市城区AQI年际波动较大,空气质量有明显变好的趋势;研究期间,信阳市城区有27个月(56.25%)空气质量属于良,19个月(39.58%)属于轻度污染,2个月(4.17%)属于中度和重度污染;AQI变化受季节影响明显,空气质量状况优劣程度依次为夏季>春季>秋季>冬季.(2)从整体水平来看,AQI与气压呈正相关关系,与气温、平均水汽压、日照时数和风速呈负相关关系;在不同季节和不同等级空气条件下,气象要素对AQI的影响差异较大.(3)由广义加性模型可以看出,AQI与降水量呈线性关系,与平均气温、平均水汽压、日照时数和平均风速等气象要素为非线性关系,气象要素对AQI的影响一般存在阈值.

     

    Abstract: Based on the monthly air quality index (AQI) data and meteorological data from 2014 to 2017, statistical analysis, pearson correlation coefficient method and generalized additive model (GAM) were used to analyze the time variation of air quality index and its relationship with meteorological elements in Xinyang urban area. The results were as follows: (1) from 2014 to 2017, the annual fluctuation of AQI in Xinyang urban area was relatively large, and the air quality showed an increasing trend in general. During the study period, the air quality in Xinyang urban area was good for 27 months (56.25%), light pollution for 19 months (39.58%), and moderate or severe pollution for 2 months (4.17%). Air quality in Xinyang urban area had obvious seasonal characteristics, with air quality from good to poor in turn: summer, autumn, spring and winter; (2)The AQI generally showed remarkable negative correlation with the temperature, average vapor pressure, average relative humidity, sunshine duration and wind speed, while it showed positive correlation with air pressure. The correlation between meteorological elements and AQI showed a large difference in different seasons and different levels of air quality; (3)The AQI value from GAM showed a linear correlation with the precipitation and nonlinear correlation with other relative meteorological elements. The impact of meteorological elements on AQI generally had a threshold.

     

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