基于不同行业的沪深300 股指期货价格发现功能研究

Research on Price Discovery of HS300 Index Futures based on Different Industeries

  • 摘要: 基于沪深3 0 0股指期货日收盘价及中证全指系列指数中的行业指数数据,利用协整检验、VA R模型、格兰杰因果检验和脉冲响应函数,研究了我国股指期货与不同行业现货价格上的领先滞后关系及其内部差异,最后对投资者和监管部门提出了一些建议.实证结果表明:股指期货和各行业现货指数之间存在着较强的单向因果关系,且在不同行业之间存在较大的内部差异.

     

    Abstract: Based on the data of the daily closing price of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock index futures and the industry indexes of CSI ALL Share Index, lead-lag relationship between the stock index futures and spot prices of different industries were investigated by using VAR model,Granger causality test and impulse response function. Empirical results showed that the unidirectional causality was significantly evident between stock index futures and the industry indexes, but it varied a lot across industries.

     

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